No further explanation needed. All comments welcome.
Blog
NFL and College Football Teams that Score a Touchdown with Little Time Left Should Go for Two When Down by Eight.
Even if their kicker is 100%, it’s still the right play if they are 40% to succeed with the two-point conversion attempt. You assume you will score another touchdown (and that you are even money in overtime) and go for one the second time if and only if the two-point try worked. I’ll show the… Continue reading NFL and College Football Teams that Score a Touchdown with Little Time Left Should Go for Two When Down by Eight.
Emotions Depend More on “Acceleration” Than “Speed”
I sometimes see an article talking about how pro poker players can make good stock traders because they can take losses when they realize the game was tougher than they thought. They don’t try to “get even”. But that strategy does not extend to buying stocks because your losses, while similarly implying that your initial… Continue reading Emotions Depend More on “Acceleration” Than “Speed”
Periodically Review Important 5-4 Supreme Court Decisions.
My main reason to suggest this is purely mathematical. Put simply, if nine different justices had ruled, there is almost a 50% chance it would go the other way. The details regarding this suggestion would have to be worked out. No further explanation needed. All comments welcome.
Don’t Overestimate the Intelligence or Expertise of Those in Fields That Require Them to Know Complicated Rules or a Lot of Jargon.
This is doubly true if that person is teaching you something about his field and unnecessarily brings up these rules or jargon. People who really know the subject don’t do that as they have no need to show off. No further explanation needed. All comments welcome.
Allow Verdicts of “Probably Guilty” For Serious and “Me Too” Accusations.
NPresently most countries want their juries to completely acquit defendants who they think are as little as 10% or less in their mind, to be actually innocent. Because it is much worse to convict an innocent person than acquit a guilty one. But I think it is wrong to completely act as if someone is… Continue reading Allow Verdicts of “Probably Guilty” For Serious and “Me Too” Accusations.
Seek Advice from One Notch Below the Famous Experts.
My experience has been that they will be extremely helpful since they normally labor in the shadows and welcome the opportunity to help people get adept at their specialty, in order to be better appreciated. No further explanation needed. All comments welcome.
Interesting Evidence That I am a Control Freak.
I always kind of knew it since I could never stand depending on people, even “experts”, since I know how many screw up. That even included airline pilots, which was why I was never comfortable flying even though I knew the odds. Thus, when it became necessary to fly in a small private jet. I… Continue reading Interesting Evidence That I am a Control Freak.
Call in The Next Ten Minutes/ Denying the Antecedent.
Hopefully you get that those TV commercials that promise that you will receive something extra if you call within ten minutes, will still give it to you even if you call later. One reason is that there is usually no way they know which ad you’re responding to. And if you reply that it’s illegal… Continue reading Call in The Next Ten Minutes/ Denying the Antecedent.
The Odd Connection Between Placebos, Peeping Toms and Babe Ruth Autographed Baseballs.
Do you see it? If you are the victim of a dishonest doctor who takes advantage of your susceptibility, a pervert outside your window, or a thief/forger who steals the baseball and replaces it with a counterfeit, you are only harmed if someone tells you it happened. Should they? No further explanation needed. All comments… Continue reading The Odd Connection Between Placebos, Peeping Toms and Babe Ruth Autographed Baseballs.